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"Dongosolo ndi mbale ya mpunga, gulu lopita kunyanja ndilopanga zatsopano m'mbiri ya malonda akunja"

"Dongosolo ndi mbale ya mpunga, gulu lopita kunyanja ndilopanga zatsopano m'mbiri ya malonda akunja"

2022 yatsala pang'ono "kutseka", ndi "pepala la mayankho apachaka" liti lidzaperekedwa ndi malonda akunja aku China?

Kumbali imodzi, mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa zogulitsa kunja ndi zogulitsa kunja kwa miyezi yoyamba ya 11 ya kukula kosalekeza panthawi imodzimodziyo, malonda akunja kwa mwezi ndi mwezi wa kukula kwa mwezi wa July mwezi ndi mwezi ukuchepa; Kumbali ina, kuti atenge maulamuliro ochulukirapo, kuyambira kumadera azachuma akum'mphepete mwa nyanja mpaka kumadera apakati ndi kumadzulo, maboma ambiri apanga mabizinesi amalonda akunja kuti awuluke kunja kukapanga misika.

China Center for International Economic Exchanges Wachiwiri kwa Purezidenti, yemwe kale anali Wachiwiri kwa Nduna ya Zamalonda Wei Jianguo adati poyankhulana ndi mtolankhani wochulukirachulukira, akuyembekezeka chaka chino, China chonse cha malonda aku China ndikutumiza kunja chikhalabe chathanzi komanso chitukuko chokhazikika, zogulitsa kunja zikadali kukwaniritsa. kukula kwa manambala awiri.

Komabe, Wei Jianguo adanenanso kuti kuchepa kwa kukula kwa mwezi umodzi kudakali mkati mokhazikika, ndipo kuchepa ndi "kwakanthawi, komveka", "mantha osafunikira, sanganene kuti kuchepa kwa kukula kwa a mwezi umodzi kutsimikizira kuti tsogolo la malonda akunja ndi lodetsa nkhawa, malonda akunja onse akadali pa ntchito yabwino komanso yokhazikika. ”

Pazochitika zamalonda za chaka chamawa, Wei adati zomwe zikuchitika chaka chamawa ndizovuta, mabizinesi akunja akunja akuyenera kuthana ndi zovuta zomwe zimachitika chifukwa cha mliri wapakhomo, nthawi yochedwa kuti abwerere, chomwe ndichofunikira. Anagogomezeranso kuti pambuyo pa mliriwu, makampani opanga zinthu padziko lonse lapansi, likulu, luso lamakono ndi luso lidzafulumizitsa kusamutsidwa ku China, tiyenera kukhala okonzeka, madera okonzeka kwambiri, mwayi wochuluka wogwiritsa ntchito.

Zikafika pa zomwe magulu ambiri am'deralo achita kuti alande malamulo, Wei adawafotokozera kuti ndi "zatsopano m'mbiri yamalonda akunja", nthawi yomweyo, ndikukhazikitsa msonkhano wa Disembala 6 Central Political Bureau womwe unati "makada angayerekeze. kuchita, kulimba mtima kwanuko kuthyola, mabizinesi amayesa kuchita, unyinji umayesetsa kuchita upainiya” zofunika. Kuwonjezera pamenepo, a Wei ananena kuti malo ochuluka ayenera kuchitapo kanthu mwachangu, “monga kumpoto chakum’maŵa, tsopano ayenera kunenedwa kuti akutenga mbali ya ‘gulu’ nthaŵi yabwino koposa.”

"Kutsika kwachiwopsezo ndi kwakanthawi, kugulitsa kwapachaka ndi kutumiza kunja kudzakhalabe chitukuko chabwino komanso chokhazikika"

Nkhani za Surfing: Zomwe zatulutsidwa ndi General Administration of Customs zikuwonetsa kuti m'mwezi wa Novembala, mtengo wonse wa zinthu zomwe China idatumiza kunja ndi kutumiza kunja kwa yuan 3.7 thililiyoni, zomwe zikuwonjezeka ndi 0.1% pachaka, kukula kwa mtengo umodzi. mwezi ukupitilirabe, mungawone bwanji kusinthaku?

Wei Jianguo: Chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa kukula kwa malonda akunja m'mwezi umodzi, chimodzi ndi kugawa kwamitundu yambiri kwa mliri wapakhomo komanso kupewa ndi kuwongolera miliri, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti madera ena atsekedwe kunja, chachiwiri ndi Federal Reserve. kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja kwadzetsa kukwera kwa inflation m'maiko ena, mphamvu zogulira ogula zidakhudzidwa pang'onopang'ono, panthawi imodzimodziyo, kuchepa kwa zofuna za ogula ochokera kumayiko ena, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti pakhale kubweza ngongole. kusungira katundu, zomwe zimakhudzanso malamulo otsatila a kasitomala, lachitatu ndi mkangano wa Russia ndi Chiyukireniya, pambuyo pa mitengo ya Mphamvu yakwera, mtengo wa katundu unakwera, ndipo mafakitale ena ku Ulaya atsekedwa, kotero kuti kuyambira pamenepo, pakhala kuchepa kwa kufunikira. kwa zinthu zopanga komanso zamoyo zogula ku China.

Komabe, kuchepa kwa malonda akunja m'mwezi umodzi akadali mkati mokhazikika, kuchepa kwake ndi kwakanthawi komanso komveka, kuchokera pamalingaliro onse, malonda akunja akadali mumayendedwe athanzi komanso okhazikika, sanganene kuti kuchepa kwa kukula. mtengo m'mwezi umodzi kutsimikizira kuti tsogolo la malonda akunja ndi loyipa.

Nkhani zakusefukira: miyezi 11 yoyambirira ya chaka chino, malonda akunja aku China ali ndi zomwe zikuyenera kuyang'aniridwa?

Wei Jianguo: M'miyezi 11 yoyambirira, mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa China ndi 38.34 thililiyoni wa yuan, kuwonjezeka kwa 8.6% panthawi yomweyi chaka chatha, zomwe, zotumiza kunja kwa 21.84 thililiyoni yuan, kuwonjezeka kwa 11.9%, zotuluka 16,5 thililiyoni, kuwonjezeka kwa 4.6%, kutumiza kunja kapena kukula kwa manambala awiri.

Popeza ntchito zamalonda zakunja za chaka chino zili ndi zizindikiro zingapo zofunika kuziganizira. Choyamba, malonda ambiri ochokera kunja ndi zogulitsa kunja ndi nkhani zoposa 60% ya mtengo okwana malonda akunja, kufika 63,8%, kuwonjezeka kwa 2.2 peresenti mfundo pa nthawi yomweyo chaka chatha, ntchito yabwino ya malonda ambiri zikusonyeza kuti mkombero zoweta China monga chachikulu, zoweta ndi mayiko pawiri mkombero wa onse kukwezeleza dongosolo latsopano chitukuko ikuchitika.

Chachiwiri, malonda ogulitsa ayamba kukula. Pa mliri, processing malonda wakhala ulesi, kapena kukula zoipa, pamene miyezi 11 yoyamba processing malonda kuitanitsa ndi kutumiza 7.74 thililiyoni yuan, kuwonjezeka kwa 1.3%, kuwonjezeka pang'ono pa tanthauzo lalikulu processing kukula malonda ndi kumbuyo malo bizinesi ku China wakhala bwino, chiwerengero chachikulu cha ndalama zakunja kuti aganyali malonda, kupanga pa zambiri.

Chachitatu, kuchuluka kwa kukula kwa China ndi kugulitsa kunja kwamayiko omwe ali m'mphepete mwa "Belt and Road" ndikwambiri kuposa kukula kwa malonda akunja akunja, komanso ubale womwe ukukulirakulira wamalonda, miyezi 11 yoyambirira, kuitanitsa komanso kutumiza kunja kwamayiko aku China. m'mphepete mwa "Belt and Road" 12.54 thililiyoni yuan, kuwonjezeka kwa 20.4%, chaka ndi chaka chiwonjezeko cha 11.8 peresenti kuposa kukula kwa dziko lonse lachilendo. malonda, ndipo, ndikukhulupirira kuti chiwonjezeko cha kukula chidzapitirira kuwonjezeka.

Chachinayi, zinthu zamakina ndi zamagetsi ndi zinthu zomwe zimagwira ntchito kwambiri kuti zitheke kukula kawiri, tinali ndi nkhawa kuti, chifukwa cha kukwera kwamitengo yamafuta, kukwera kwamitengo yantchito, komanso madera ozungulira Vietnam, Malaysia sikudzachotsa msika ndi zifukwa zina, ntchito. -Zogulitsa zochulukirapo zidzatsika, koma kuchokera ku data ya Novembala yapitayi, kutumiza kunja kwa zinthu zomwe zimagwira ntchito kwambiri zidafika 3.91 thililiyoni yuan, kuwonjezeka kwa 9.9%, makina ndi zamagetsi zamagetsi ndi Kutumiza kwa katundu wochuluka pantchito Kumbuyo kwa kukula kwawiri, zikusonyeza kuti tikupitiriza kulimbikitsa kusintha ndi kukweza mabizinesi amalonda akunja, komanso kusintha kwa kapangidwe kazinthu zamabizinesi akunja.

Kuphatikiza apo, miyezi yoyamba ya 11, ASEAN akadali mnzathu wamkulu wamalonda, pano chifukwa cha kukhazikitsidwa kwa RCEP, ndipo RCEP yotsatira idzapitirizabe kugwira ntchito.

Kotero, kuchokera ku zochitika zonse za chaka chonse, ndikuganiza kuti kuitanitsa ndi kutumiza kunja kudzakhalabe ndi thanzi labwino komanso chitukuko chokhazikika, zogulitsa kunja zidzakulabe kawiri kawiri, zogulitsa kunja zidzakulanso posachedwa.

"Mabizinesi akunja amalamula ndi mbale ya mpunga, gulu lopita kunyanja ndilopanga zatsopano m'mbiri yamalonda akunja"
Nkhani Zapa Surfing: Pakadali pano, maboma angapo akukonza mabizinesi kuti alande maoda, mukuwona bwanji izi?

Wei Jianguo: kwa mabizinesi akunja, dongosolo ndi mbale ya mpunga, palibe malamulo omwe sangapulumuke. Boma linakonza mabizinesi amalonda akunja kuti apite kunyanja, tinganene kuti ndi zatsopano m'mbiri ya malonda akunja. Ndinaona kuti luso limeneli si m'mphepete mwa nyanja Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Fujian, etc., m'chigawo chapakati ndi kumadzulo, kuphatikizapo Hunan, Sichuan, etc. Komanso anayamba, chomwe ndi chinthu chabwino.

Kuphatikiza pazatsopano, nyanja kuti atenge maulamuliro ndikofunikira kwambiri kuti akwaniritse msonkhano wa Disembala 6 wa Central Political Bureau "makada angayerekeze kuchita, kulimba mtima kwanuko, mabizinesi angayerekeze kuchita, unyinji angayerekeze kuchita upainiya".

Gulu kuti akathyole malamulo kunja, choyamba, zikusonyeza kuti pambuyo 20 National Congress, mabizinezi zamalonda zakunja ndi maonekedwe atsopano, angayerekeze kuthyola kuti apambane dziko; chachiwiri, malamulo ndi mabizinezi malonda akunja, koma kutsatiridwa ndi unyolo kupanga, ntchito ndi yathunthu ya msika wapakhomo, kotero akathyole malamulo ndi akathyole msika; chachitatu, mabizinezi malonda akunja kusonyeza kunja, pali ambiri mabizinezi vuto, boma ankaimba "Dzanja lina" udindo, mukhoza kuona kuti boma mofulumira, ntchito m'malo kuthandiza mabizinezi kuthetsa mavuto, kuphatikizapo hayala ndege, mliri. kupewa komanso ndalama.

Kuyambira pano mpaka April wotsatira, May, dziko lidzachitikira ziwonetsero mazana asanu kapena asanu ndi limodzi zosiyanasiyana, tiyenera kuchita nawo, osati Guangdong, Hong Kong ndi Macao, ndi Yangtze Mtsinje Delta dera nawo, chapakati ndi kumadzulo zigawo, ndi chigawo chakumpoto chakum'mawa chiyeneranso kutenga nawo mbali, ino ndi nthawi yabwino yochita gawo la "gulu".

Mliri wazaka zitatu sikuti ndi malonda akunja okha, chuma chathu chonse ndi kusinthanitsa kwapadziko lonse lapansi, kulumikizana, doko sikokwanira, mayendedwe apadziko lonse lapansi m'zaka zitatu zapitazi adapitilira kusintha, ndipo kusinthaku kulibe mabizinesi aku China. , tsopano nthawi ino kupanga mtunda, mofulumira kulowa latsopano padziko lonse katundu unyolo, unyolo mafakitale, tiyenera kuchita ntchito yabwino "kusinthanitsa, kulankhulana, docking ", tiyenera kupita kunja, osati kumenyera malamulo katundu, komanso kukopa ndalama zambiri ku China.

“Chaka chamawa, malonda akunja afika poipa, komanso nthawi yamphamvu”

Surfing News: Zolosera zanyengo yamalonda yakunja kwa chaka chamawa ndi chiyani?

Wei Jianguo: zinthu ziwiri, zinthu chaka chamawa n'zomvetsa chisoni, mabizinezi zoweta zakunja malonda akadali kuthana ndi mavuto chifukwa cha mliri zoweta, kuchedwa nthawi kuti akathyole mmbuyo, ndilo fungulo, mbali mayiko, ena otsutsa- kudalirana kwa mayiko, kuphatikizapo chitetezo cha malonda, unilateralism, ndi zina zotero, zidzakhudza kwambiri malonda akunja a China, ndiyenso vuto lathu lalikulu ndikugonjetsa.

Kuyambira kumapeto kwa chaka chino mabizinesi akunja akunja kuti awone momwe zinthu ziliri, chaka chamawa ndi nthawi yamphamvu kwambiri. Kuonjezera kutsegula kwa dziko lakunja pa mlingo mkulu, mabizinezi malonda akunja kupititsa patsogolo mzimu angayerekeze kuchita kuthyola, ndi kuyesetsa kuti chaka chamawa, kufunika kunja sikokwanira, ndipo ngakhale kufunika yachilendo kwa nthawi ya nthawi ndi yovuta kwambiri, malonda akunja kuti mafunde pa mavuto, kukhalabe panopa, kapena kuposa momwe zinthu ziliri chaka chino, awiri manambala kukula mu malonda akunja, adzakhala anawonjezera pansi pa khama lathu kwa nthawi.

Surf News: Kodi zazikulu zamalonda zakunja za chaka chamawa zomwe zili zoyenera kuziganizira ndi ziti?

Wei Jianguo: Chofunikira kwambiri ndikusintha kwamakono kwachi China komwe tikufuna kukhazikitsa. Kusintha kwamakono ku China kumatsindika kutseguka kwakukulu kwa dziko lakunja. Chaka chamawa, padzakhala mndandanda wa ndondomeko ndi miyeso kulimbikitsa mkulu mlingo wotseguka kwa dziko lakunja, kulimbikitsa China malonda chilengedwe, luntha chitetezo chitetezo, makamaka pa kukhazikitsidwa kwa dongosolo msika zochokera legalization, malonda ndi internationalization, kutenga sitepe yaikulu patsogolo, ndipo China msika waukulu adzakopa ndalama zosawerengeka ngati sucker. Pambuyo pa mliriwu, kupanga padziko lonse lapansi, likulu, ukadaulo ndi matalente zimathandizira kusamutsidwa ku China, tiyenera kukhala okonzeka, zigawo zokonzeka kwambiri, mipata yambiri yolanda.

Surfing News: Kodi kukhazikika kwa malonda akunja kungathandize bwanji kukhazikika kwakukula? Chaka chamawa, khola malonda akunja ayenera kuchokera mbali zimene kuyesetsa?

Wei Jianguo: Mu kumwa sikunapitirire, zotsatira za ndalama sizinawonekere, malonda akunja adzapitiriza kugwira ntchito yaikulu. Khazikitsani malonda akunja, chinthu chachikulu ndikukhazikitsa mitu ya msika, kukhazikika kwa mfundo zamalonda zakunja. Choyamba, kukhazikitsidwa kwa ndondomeko zamalonda zamalonda zakunja kuyambira chaka chino, kuphatikizapo inshuwalansi, ngongole, miyambo, kuphatikizapo ndondomeko zotsatiridwa zamalonda amalonda a malire, kuti amvetse bungwe ndi kukhazikitsa; chachiwiri, kukhazikitsa lalikulu, lotseguka zambiri maukonde gulu, kufunika padziko lonse zinthu zimene, malo ali chionetsero, amene malo amafuna zimene makasitomala, malangizo chiyani pa katundu wathu, amene misika akadali kufufuzidwa, malonda akunja kumvetsa monga posachedwa Chachitatu, kukhazikitsidwa kwa "flagship" monga chachikulu, "frigate" yokonza chitsanzo cha "zombo", ndiko kuti, mabizinesi akuluakulu kuti atsogolere, ndi mabizinesi ang'onoang'ono kumtunda ndi kumtunda kwa Kulumikizana, mapangidwe. ya njira "yoyimitsa" yotukula misika yatsopano.

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Nthawi yotumiza: Dec-15-2022
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